Predictions just before the start of the world championship, Brazil is seen as the main favorite
Brazil haven't won the World Cup since 2002, but there's a good chance Qatar 2022 will be their year.
Using Stats Perform's AI World Cup prediction model, the South Americans have emerged as favorites to lift the trophy for a sixth time.
For a more complete picture of who will win the 2022 World Cup, the prediction model estimates the probability of each match's outcome - win, draw or loss - using betting market odds and Stats Perform's team rankings.
The odds and rankings are based on the team's historical and recent performances. The model then takes into account the strength of the opposition and the difficulty of their path to the final, using match outcome probabilities, taking into account the group composition and progression to the knockout stages.
Brazil comes out with the highest probability to win. The five-time championship winners, who are the overall favorites to win, have a 16% chance of lifting the trophy according to the model and as the overall favorites for the tournament, are also the team with the highest probability of reaching the final (25 %).
After Brazil, Argentina has the second highest probability of winning this year's World Cup. Lionel Scaloni's side, who are favorites in Group C, have a 13% chance of winning the trophy this year.
In the top five contenders for the 2022 World Cup are France (12%), Spain (9%) and England (9%).
Despite being the third overall favorite to win the tournament, it is France who actually have the highest probability of qualifying for the knockout stage of the tournament (91%), ahead of overall favorite Brazil (89%).
Croatia, who were beaten by the finalists in 2018, look unlikely to repeat that performance. Zlatko Dalic's side have just a 4% chance of returning to the final this year, with 11 other teams in the tournament having a higher probability of doing so.