Opinion

The April 25 contest by Lulzim Basha, falls clear from the figures of Tirana

The April 25 contest by Lulzim Basha, falls clear from the figures of Tirana

By Ylli Pata

The Democratic Party and opposition segments in the public, although at first they said the opposition wins convincingly, have already come up with the thesis of "vote buying" and the so-called "surgical process without a scalpel".
According to this thesis, the SP paid with cash and influence; hence legalizations, employment, etc., the poor population.
But just looking at the official figures of April 25, you notice that in poor areas or those areas that are dependent on decisions for state influence, the DP has won significantly.
The most meaningful example is Tirana; even if we take it as a county, but also if we take the capital as a Municipality.
The Socialist Party has won in Tirana with 44,507 votes, a difference with the DP, which is fixed at 4 more deputies, but in reality the SP has won 3 more deputies.
The 19th MP is a victim of invalid votes.
But were the votes bought in Tirana? Grida Duma shouted last night that in Kavaja and Rrogozhina the hatred of "buying" and "gangs" took place.
In the Municipality of Kavaja, the difference between the SP and the DP is 223 votes, almost the same as in all elections.
In this Municipality the main parties are "wheel on wheel" and why in 2017, PD won the municipality of Kavaja in the by-elections.
In Rrogozhina, the SP leads with 1388 votes, which again gives a familiar panorama with all the voting precedents.
Kamza, as an area where there is a fragmented population or exposed to the clientelist vote, or affiliated with interest groups, the DP has won with 6420 votes difference over the SP.
And this difference is identically immovable since the 2009 elections.
In Vora, an old stronghold of the DP, the SP has managed to win by a margin of 2753 votes.
If we look at the history of these votes, it is clear that in this Municipality there is an increase of the SP as a result of the decrease of the votes of the SMI that it received in 2017, but also the non-representation of the DP in this area .
But let us enter the city, as we are not taking the former municipalities of Tirana, even though the Socialist Party has won in all of them.
The city of Tirana is also the area most unaffected by tribal votes or buying, as we are dealing with an urban territory, where well-being is higher, but also the most indicative of elections.
In 30 years, Tirana's vote has really determined the political winner of the elections in Albania.
And exactly the capital has been the area where the internationals have been more influenced to evaluate the electoral process.
In 1997, where in all areas, the state was absent, in Tirana the situation was more stable; and exactly in the capital SP won 25 deputies, from zero PD.
Tirana served as the basis for recognizing the elections.
We return on April 25, 2021: The Democratic Party has suffered a heavy defeat in the territory of the Municipality of Tirana.
46,563 is the difference of the SP against the Democratic Party.
So 4 and a half deputies, with a winning result in all administrative units of the municipality, except unit 8, the birthplace of Lulzim Basha, where the DP has won 400 more votes, which is generally known as the right bastion.
The SP even won in unit 11, once the barn of Democratic Party votes.
Why did this happen? There are many, many factors, but the credit goes to the leader of the Socialist Party for the Tirana region, Erion Veliaj, who not only confirmed the result he voted for twice as mayor, but deepened this result.
Veliaj is really the second man after Edi Rama who managed to mobilize the leftist electorate and convince the gray and undecided to vote for the SP.
Erion Veliaj is the one who crushed the SMI in the region, leaving it with only 2 deputies and really merging it in the territory of the Municipality of Tirana.
Meanwhile, the DP today does not have a political leader of the Tirana region, does not have a chairman of the Tirana branch, does not have real and strong structures.
The only politician in the territory of the Democratic Party was Belind Këlliçi, who, although he took a difficult area like Kombinati under his patronage, managed to mobilize the right and ensure an impressive personal result.
E Këlliçi, who today has achieved two objectives: a strong opportunity for his candidacy for the Municipality of Tirana, but also a real chance to replace Lulzim Basha.
Tirana is a mirror of elections and not the territory of the "strong", who still deserve a real analysis.
Ornaldo Rakipi's surprise result as a circuit? Aqif Rakipi's son is known to have received votes mainly in the Cham community of Rrogozhina, but also in Tirana.
Only he defeated the two representatives of PDIU: Shpëtim Idrizi and Mesila Doda, who did not exceed the limit of 8 thousand votes in the district.
But these are details; the reality is clearer; Tirana has a clear, unequivocal result, politically in favor of the Socialist Party and a winner who in this case is triumphant: Erion Veliaj.
Which from chief administrator also turned into a high-level politician.
He has deeply defeated his rivals, since the cooking project of the SP team in the Tirana region, which he configured, from the top battle of the table and below.
Did Veliaj have any problems that resulted in a goal? Of course, yes, it is the loss of the 19th mandate, which is won by numbers, but which seems to have been won simply by invalid votes and not by numbers.
In summary: SP in Tirana, so the political leader behaved like a winner, fought hard for a vote and achieved triumph.
The other side did not have the mentality to win in any case and ignored from the beginning the political duel that Erion Veliaj demanded, throwing in the towel day by day.
Both with Lulzim Basha as former mayor, and with Sali Berisha who was 5th on the list.
DP in its media and circles does not leave even a low attack on Veliaj without doing, but Erion defeated them, as it has done in two election campaigns, one with the SMI ally and the other with an absurd boycott situation.
Will Erion Veliaj win the third mandate in Tirana either after two years as it is by law or even if Edi Rama gives Basha the "bonus" of early local elections?
Definitely yes! In fact, Veliaj is strongly configured as a political leader, in a calm and normal atmosphere as the capital offers.
Tirana is a clean test, not only for the result, but also for the political behavior and a laboratory for the production of leaders.
Lulzim Basha was given the opportunity; even when he won the troubled municipality but kept it, but also as a political leader in 2013 for the county. He lost it deeply…

* Tiranapost.al