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The double alarm that frightens NATO  

The double alarm that frightens NATO

Rising tensions in western Ukraine, bordering Moldova, combined further north with Russian provocations involving Scandinavian countries, and the Arctic in general. While in the center of attention is the battlefield of Ukraine, where since last February 24 is fighting incessantly, on the map of Europe we have 2 strategic areas full of tensions, which could explode at any moment, prompting a very dangerous military escalation.

The biggest problem is that if something like this really happens, then there is a serious risk of an open clash between Russia and NATO. But which areas are we talking about?

The first red alarm sirens can be heard from Transnistria, a Russian enclave between Moldova and Ukraine, a land bridge capable of perfectly connecting the Moscow-occupied territories along the Ukrainian coast with this little strip of land. more than 3500 square kilometers.

The other alarm concerns Northern Europe and specifically Sweden and Finland, two countries that could become members of NATO as early as summer, prompting a possible reaction from Russia. The governments and parliaments of Stockholm and Helsinki are working hard these days, and their final decision must be imminent.

Alarm in Transnistria

In the self-proclaimed independent republic of Transnistria, tension has risen to a maximum. After repeated and mysterious attacks that first hit the Ministry of Security of Tiraspol, then the 2 antennas of the Russian radio broadcast, local authorities have raised the level of alarm.

For its part, Kiev fears that Russia could use Transnistrian - as well as Belarusian territory - to launch a further attack on Ukraine. "But I note that both on the border with Belarus and Transnistria, Ukrainian forces are taking all necessary measures to strengthen these areas, and all information that may affect border protection is being considered." said the spokesman of the Ukrainian Border Guard, Andriy Demchenko.

Udhëheqësi i republikës autonome pro-ruse të Transnistrias, Vadim Krasnoselski, e ka drejtuar gishtin pa hezitim nga Kievi, duke i cilësuar ukrainasit si përgjegjësit e vetëm për sulmet e fundit lokale. Së fundi, Moldavia druhet nga “provokimet” që synojnë zgjerimin e luftës në Ukrainë në territorin e saj. Për këtë arsye, Kishinau ka vënë tashmë në gatishmëri forcat e saj të sigurisë, duke rritur në maksimum alarmin ndaj akteve terroriste. Kujtojmë se Moldavia nuk është pjesë e Bashkimit Evropian apo e NATO-s.

Alarmi skandinav

Provokimi i fundit rus u përshkrua si “i papranueshëm” nga Suedia. Dhe nuk mund të ishte ndryshe, duke qenë se bëhet fjalë për një shkelje të hapësirës ajrore suedeze nga një avion ushtarak rus. Që kur Stokholmi hapi mundësinë e anëtarësimit në aleancën atlantike, Rusia reagoi ashpër verbalisht (“Do të ketë pasoja të rënda”), por gjithashtu Moska i lejoi avionët e saj të kryejnë fluturime kërcënuese mbi territoret e kontrolluara nga Suedia.

Episodi më i fundit daton të premten e kaluar, ndërsa ai që i parapriu atij të 2 marsit, kur 2 avionë bombardues Su-24 – që mund të kenë qenë të pajisur me bomba bërthamore – kaluan përmes Gotland, të shoqëruar nga dy avionë Su-27.

As for Finland, according to the newspaper Ilta-Sanomat, Finnish President Sauli Ninisto will formally submit the application for the country's membership in NATO by May 12. Given that Russia can rely on its nearby Kaliningrad enclave, and that Moscow has been very active in the Arctic in recent years, if Sweden and Finland join NATO, the likelihood of seeing a military or diplomatic incident between the two countries Scandinavians and the Kremlin can grow a lot.

* Originally published on Bota.al